Institute for Family Studies · 2026 State of Fertility

American Birthday Accounts — Bonus Estimator

A policy-design tool. Set the program parameters, describe a hypothetical family, and see how large the baby bonus would be at each birth — in today's dollars and as a share of average income.

1Program Design

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Assumptions (advanced)
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The account is modeled for a child born today (2026). All rates are nominal; results are also shown deflated to today's dollars.

2The Family

Enter the parent's age at each birth, or mark a birth as "Never." Married parents claim roughly double, since both spouses hold accounts.

3Estimated Bonus

BirthClaim ageFund beforeShare GrossAfter taxNet receivedToday's $% med. income

Fund Growth & Withdrawals

Fund balance Birth / withdrawal
Fund value by the parent's age (nominal dollars). Drops mark each birth claim.

How much would this plan change fertility?

Your policy would likely increase fertility rates by somewhere .

What would it cost?

Cost = CBO-projected U.S. births, 2026–2035 (Demographic Outlook, Jan 2025) × the initial investment set above. Federal revenue = CBO total revenues from all sources, 2026–2035 (Budget & Economic Outlook, Jan 2025). Public school spending = latest annual U.S. public K–12 expenditures (NCES) × 10. All figures nominal.