Institute for Family Studies · 2026 State of Fertility
A policy-design tool. Set the program parameters, describe a hypothetical family, and see how large the baby bonus would be at each birth — in today's dollars and as a share of average income.
The account is modeled for a child born today (2026). All rates are nominal; results are also shown deflated to today's dollars.
Enter the parent's age at each birth, or mark a birth as "Never." Married parents claim roughly double, since both spouses hold accounts.
| Birth | Claim age | Fund before | Share | Gross | After tax | Net received | Today's $ | % med. income |
|---|
Your policy would likely increase fertility rates by somewhere —.
Cost = CBO-projected U.S. births, 2026–2035 (Demographic Outlook, Jan 2025) × the initial investment set above. Federal revenue = CBO total revenues from all sources, 2026–2035 (Budget & Economic Outlook, Jan 2025). Public school spending = latest annual U.S. public K–12 expenditures (NCES) × 10. All figures nominal.